Posts from January 2015

Market will be hypersensitive to any change in FOMC tone

Macro Views Next week Next week’s main market-moving events are the Greek elections on Sunday and the U.S. FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Markets will be hypersensitive to even the slightest change in the Federal Open Market Committee’s tone or hint that the FOMC has begun to doubt that it will raise rates as early as […]

Posted: January 23rd, 2015
Categories: English, Macro Views
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Bienes raíces de EE UU y renta variable de baja volatilidad son categorías líderes

Nuestro desempeño En los últimos tres meses, las clases de activos en nuestros portafolios modelo[1] de mayor rentabilidad en términos del dólar estadounidense fueron los bienes raíces (15.8%), la renta variable de baja volatilidad (10.3%), y la de capitalización mediana de EE UU (7.1%). Las de peor desempeño (en dólares) fueron la renta variable de […]

Posted: January 23rd, 2015
Categories: Español, Our Performance
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U.S. real estate and low volatility equity are winners

Our Performance In the past three months, the asset classes in our model portfolios[1] that delivered the highest U.S. dollar returns were U.S. real estate (15.8%), U.S. low volatility equity (10.3%), and U.S. mid cap value equity (7.1%). Producing the lowest returns (in dollar terms) were U.S. energy equity (–10.2%), Mexico equity (–8.3%), and developed […]

Posted: January 23rd, 2015
Categories: English, Our Performance
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Perspectiva 2015-2016: Bajas por largo tiempo

Carta de la Presidente Hemos actualizado nuestra Perspectiva Trimestral para la economía mundial y las clases de activos, la cual ahora alcanza hasta el cuarto trimestre de 2016. Pueden consultar en su totalidad las tablas del pronóstico aquí y los supuestos del escenario acá. En los próximos días publicaremos el informe completo. Mientras tanto, les dejamos este […]

Posted: January 19th, 2015
Categories: Español, Letter From the President
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2015–2016 Outlook: Low for Long

Letter from the President We’ve updated our Quarterly Outlook for the global economy and asset markets, which now goes through the fourth quarter of 2016. You can consult full forecast tables here and scenario assumptions here. In coming days we’ll publish the full report. Meanwhile, we leave you with this summary. Our central scenario is […]

Posted: January 17th, 2015
Categories: English, Letter From the President
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Will the ECB start to buy sovereign bonds?

Macro Views Outlook We anticipate the ECB to announce on Thursday that it will extend its asset purchase program to include sovereign bonds. Please see today’s Letter from the President for a summary of our outlook for 2015-2016. Also check out our new forecast tables and scenario assumptions. Activity December retail sales surprised to the […]

Posted: January 17th, 2015
Categories: English, Español, Macro Views
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Bienes raíces de EE UU aún es la categoría con mejor desempeño

Nuestro desempeño En los últimos tres meses, las clases de activos en nuestros portafolios modelo[1] de mayor rentabilidad en términos del dólar estadounidense fueron los bienes raíces (17.7%), la renta variable de baja volatilidad (11.4%), y la de capitalización mediana de EE UU (8.4%). Las de peor desempeño (en dólares) fueron la renta variable de […]

Posted: January 17th, 2015
Categories: Español, Our Performance
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U.S. real estate still the best performing asset class

Our Performance In the past three months, the asset classes in our model portfolios[1] that delivered the highest U.S. dollar returns were U.S. real estate (17.7%), U.S. low volatility equity (11.4%), and U.S. mid cap value equity (8.4%). Producing the lowest returns (in dollar terms) were U.S. energy equity (–11.3%), Mexico equity (–10.9%), and MLPs […]

Posted: January 17th, 2015
Categories: English, Our Performance
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Seguimos optimistas sobre la renta variable y contentos con los bonos de 7 a 10 años

Carta de la Presidente A pesar del colapso en el precio del petróleo, mantenemos nuestra perspectiva de que las tasas de interés permanecerán bajas en el mundo por largo tiempo. Debido a que este enfoque impulsa nuestras estrategias de portafolio, ellas también siguen inalteradas: permanecemos cómodos con la curva de rendimiento de los bonos de […]

Posted: January 14th, 2015
Categories: Letter From the President
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Still bullish on equity, happy with 7–10-year bonds

Letter from the President Notwithstanding the collapse in oil prices, we hold to our view that interest rates globally will remain low for long. This view is driving our portfolio strategies, so they remain unchanged also: we remain comfortable in our 7–10-year position on the U.S. investment grade yield curve and bullish on equity. We’re […]

Posted: January 10th, 2015
Categories: English, Letter From the President
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