Watch Fed minutes and U.S. jobs report
Genevieve Signoret
03 January 2015
Macro Views
Events in red are those most likely to shake markets.
Saturday 3
- China: NBS nonmanufacturing PMI (Dec).
Monday 5
- Global: Markit services PMIs (Dec).
- Germany: Consumer prices (Dec, flash). Consensus: 0.2% y/y (from 0.5% in Dec).
- Turkey: Consumer prices (Dec, flash).
- USA: Light vehicle sales (Dec).
Tuesday 6
- USA: Markit services PMI (Dec), ISM nonmanufacturing (Dec).
Wednesday 7
- Euro Area: Unemployment rate (Nov).
- USA: Foreign trade (Nov), monetary policy meeting minutes (Dec 16-17). The last meeting was marked by three dissents (one by a dove, two by hawks) and by a change in language in the statement: whereas before it said the FOMC would wait for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program before beginning to normalize its monetary policy stance, now it says the FOMC will be patient.
Thursday 8
- Euro Area: Governing Council of the ECB: non-monetary policy meeting.
- Turkey: Industrial production (Nov).
- USA: Consumer credit (Nov), unemployment claims (Jan 3).
- Brazil: Industrial production (Nov).
- Mexico: Consumer prices (Dec).
Friday 9
- Germany: Foreign trade (Nov), industrial production (Nov).
- UK: Foreign trade (Nov), industrial production, monetary policy meeting. Consensus and TransEconomics: rate unchanged at 0.50% and asset purchase program unchanged at £375 Bn.
- USA: Nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate (Dec), Fed speech: Kocherlakota. In November, the U.S. economy experienced the biggest nonfarm payroll increase since 1999. In 2014, the U.S. labor market recovered much faster than expected. Consensus: nonfarm payrolls change +240K (from +321K in Nov), unemployment rate: 5.7% (from 5.8% in Nov).
- Brazil: Consumer prices (Dec).
- Mexico: Consumer confidence (Dec).
Update History:
- 5 Jan 2015: “Euro Area: Governing Council of the ECB: non-monetary policy meeting.
Consensus and TransEconomics: rate unchanged at 0.15%, asset purchase program expanded to include sovereign bonds on secondary markets.“
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